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Gregg Bonner's Natality Statistics
The table below gives the number of live childbirths for years 1997-2000, 2002, in the USA, broken down by single year for the age of the mother. I couldn't find the data for single year for 2000 and 2002, so I have the statistics broken down as much as possible. The point of this table is to demonstrate the statistical rarity of live childbirth for mothers aged 50 and more. For the years shown, less than 0.005% of live childbirths are to mothers aged 50 and more. Thus, for an arbitrarily selected database of 25,000 people, one can expect, on average, about one (1) person to have been born to a mother aged 50 or more. Note also that these statistics include all manner of fertility treatment that would not have been available to our ancestors. Thus, even these miniscule probabilities are still an overestimate compared to what our ancestors would have experienced.
Age 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
10 9 5 4

8519

7315

11 23 23 33
12 239 202 208
13 1661 1621 1496
14 8189 7611 7313
15 26340 24777 22896 21845 18703
16 57038 55033 51516 48581 43147
17 96776 93421 89176 86783 76881
18 134595 137567 133988 132786 118651
19 168471 174097 178474 178995 168111
20 183050 187859 190673

1017806

1022106

21 184466 192904 195244
22 190783 194649 200993
23 188844 195154 195947
24 194905 194556 199072
25 205294 201517 200513

1087547

1060391

26 220344 212527 206784
27 219824 227095 216448
28 214978 224038 229241
29 208996 217833 225266
30 203454 205278 212106

929278

951219

31 192151 193152 194687
32 181501 178236 178604
33 165034 164665 160225
34 144658 148034 146778
35 122610 127062 128843

452057

453927

36 101884 103855 107116
37 79461 82887 84065
38 60376 63626 65169
39 45379 47460 49101
40 31897 33459 34205

90013

95788

41 20542 21958 22506
42 12613 13600 14078
43 7255 7900 7926
44 3777 4110 4375
45 1866 1957 2229

4349

5224

46 795 895 1050
47 395 481 520
48 173 201 240
49 104 90 135
50 66 63 75

255*

263

51 30 45 42
52 17 25 35
53 19 19 10
54 12 6 12
Total 3880894 3941553 3959417 4058814

4021726


*Of these 255 live childbirths to women aged 50 or more, about 40% were as part of a multiple live childbirth, giving some evidence to impact of fertility treatments among mothers of this age group.
Last update: 22 DEC 2004: