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The Aaron Stark Family Chronicles

Genetic Genealogy Analysis of Descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]

Part 1: Y-DNA Analysis of the Descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]

[Table of Contents] [ Part I ] Part II ] Appendix 1&2 ] Appendix 3 ]

Last Update: December 10, 2009 Webmaster: Clovis LaFleur <clafleur1@austin.rr.com> Click HERE to see Copyright & Disclaimer.

 

 

Page 1

 

Abstract

The purpose of this dissertation is to examine the genetic and genealogical data of male descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685] having the surname "Stark." This report will provide explanations of how we have arrived at certain conclusions; identify reoccurring haplotypes that can identify probable male descendants of Aaron; determine the probable ancestral haplotype of Aaron; and discuss the rate of mutation of the Y-DNA of Aaron's descendants.

There will be descriptions of differences (or mutations) observed between members at one or more DYS Markers. (See DYS Marker Definition). Because one differs from another at one or more of the markers discussed  is not a bad sign nor are the matches a good sign. Enough marker matches merely explains relatedness between individuals while not enough matches explains non-relatedness of Individuals.

All of the male individuals discussed in this report have the surname Stark or Starks and have been found through genealogical research to be descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685] of Connecticut.  The Genetic Results confirms there is a high probability these men all have a common ancestor who lived within the previous 20 generations. (Click HERE to see Lineage Table). (Use Back Button to return to this text.)

 

Background

The origins of the Stark surname in North America began with the arrival of Aaron Stark in New England between 1630 and 1637 —  most likely from Scotland or England. He was born about 1608 and died in 1685 in New London County, Connecticut. His service in the Pequot War under Captain John Mason in May of 1637, was the first record we have of him in Connecticut. He eventually settled in New London County, Connecticut in a region that later became Groton Township. 

 Those who have participated in the Stark Family Y-DNA Project have been found to be descendants of many genetically unrelated families having the surname Stark or one of it's derivatives.  The majority of the participants are descendants of families that settled in New Hampshire, Virginia, and Connecticut. Contrary to the beliefs of some earlier researchers, the Stark Family Y-DNA Project has clearly proven the descendants of Aaron Stark are not  related to the descendants of the New Hampshire and Virginia families.

 

Introduction

The male Y-chromosome is handed down from father to son relatively unchanged through the generations. A comparison of the Y-DNA of two males with the same surname can determine their relatedness to each other. Groups of males with the same surname so tested and compared can define family groups and establish a probability they have a most recent common ancestor who lived after the usage of surnames became common in Europe in the 13th and 14th centuries. Considering that one generation is about 25 years or more, the year 1500 would be the approximate equivalent of about 20 generations prior to the present generations.

Those males with the surname Stark who have been genealogically proven to be descendants of Aaron Stark are descendants of two of his sons — Aaron Stark II [1654-1701] and William Stark, Sr. [1664-1730]. It is known with certainty that Aaron Stark lived approximately between the years 1608 and 1685 — well after the establishment of surnames in Europe. The following list identifies the Kit number of the descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685] and groups them as descendants of the two sons of Aaron. 

 

Descendants of William Stark: 

16335, 48711, 63737, 75156, 76234, 74961, 78077, 78078, 80860, 98044, 115456, 119763,165568, 9Z5ZG, N17289, N56748.

Descendants of Aaron Stark (Junior): 

87105, 98140, 102286, 115764, 135468

  

A conservative probability of 85% or greater — for the purposes of this discussion — will be considered a confidence threshold of sufficient probability to declare that any two individuals compared most likely did have a common ancestor that lived within the number of generations specified. Probabilities below this threshold will be deemed insufficient. This threshold is intended as a guideline and should be the subject of further interpretation when the plots approach 85% from the direction of greater or lesser probabilities.

This population of individuals have been variously tested over Panel 1 (Markers 1-12), Panel 2 (Markers 13-25), and Panel 3 (Markers 26-37) as will be presented in the Genetic Results Table. One or more participants can have the same haplotype over any combination of these Panels . For the purposes of this discussion, the most common haplotype over a selected group of DYS Markers will be referred to as Haplotype 1. Other lesser occurring haplotypes will be numbered 2 thru N (Haplotype 2, Haplotype 3,..., Haplotype N). All genetic comparisons of lesser occurring haplotypes in this report will be compared to the most common haplotype.

 

 

Terminology

Before we begin, here are some explanations of common terms used in this summary.

 

Allele Values:  

A DNA sequence that repeats at a certain locus or place. The allele value is the number of times the sequence repeats. (Pronounced uh-LEEL)

DYS Markers:  

(DNA Y-chromosome Segment number): The "name" of a marker on the Y-chromosome. It is assigned based on a nomenclature system controlled by the HUGO Gene Nomenclature Committee, which assigns DYS numbers to newly discovered markers. DYS markers have "allele values" which are observed from DNA samples supplied to a laboratory by the Program Members. In our analysis, there will be 37 total DYS markers discussed. DYS-393 is the first marker followed by DYS-390, etc; until the last marker designated as DYS-438. {Return to Text}

Haplotype:  

A haplotype is defined as a collection of two or more DYS markers (DNA Y-chromosome Segment number). Our DYS Markers have been organized into three separate haplotypes identified as numbered "Panels." For example, DYS Markers 1 through 12 would be Panel 1; DYS Markers 13 through 25 would be Panel 2; and DYS Markers 26 through 37 would be Panel 3. The collection of DYS Allele values in each Panel or any combination of these panels represent a haplotype for each of the Members. {Return to Text}

Lineage:  

Each Member has submitted his genealogically researched direct male lineage to Aaron Stark. It is presumed these are accurate and have been properly researched. The lineages of all participants are presented in the Members Genealogical Lineage Table. Use Back Button to return to this text. 

Triangulation:  

A deductive method of determining an Ancestral Haplotype. In Genetic Genealogy, this is a process for determining the possible Y chromosome DNA of a male ancestor by evaluating the allele values at select DYS markers in the haplotypes; focusing specifically on comparisons of direct paternal line descendants of two or more known and different sons of a common male ancestor. (See Charles F. Kerchner, Jr.'s article entitled "Triangulation Method for Deducing the Ancestral Haplotype in Y-DNA Surname Projects.") Use Back Button to return to this text. 

Ancestral Haplotype:  

For this report, the Ancestral Haplotype derived from the Deductive Triangulation Method has be assigned to the genealogically determined common ancestor of all Members included in this analysis. [Click HERE to review Appendix 1 entitled "Defining the Ancestral Haplotype of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]."] Use Back Button to return to this text. 

 

 

 

 

Page 2

 

Genetic Results

The following Genetic Results Table presents the allele values available over 37 DYS Markers for each of the members. Cells with this background color report DYS Marker allele values of descendants of William Stark [1664-1730]; while cells with this background color report DYS Marker allele values for descendants of Aaron Stark II [1654-1701]. The Common Ancestor Column reveals from which of the two sons of Aaron Stark I each member descends according to the genealogical research. The "letter" preceding each Kit # will be the "Letter Code ID" for each Member used when discussing genetic comparisons. [Comparison of A-B, for example.]

For the purpose of this report, a Mutation occurs in a DYS Marker column when an allele value differs from the most common allele value in that column (excluding the ancestral haplotype allele values). For example, in Panel 1 (Markers 1 thru 12), all of the allele values in the Marker 2 (DYS-390) column are 24 resulting in no observed mutations in this column. However, in the Marker 1 (DYS-393) column, the allele value 13 occurs more often than the allele value 12. Therefore, Members F, R, and S having the allele value 12 in the Marker 1 column have their Marker 1 allele values highlighted in yellow; indicating each has a DYS-393 mutation relative to the more common allele value of 13. This method of determining mutations results in a minimum number of mutations for the population tested.

Using genealogical and genetic data, the deductive triangulation method devised by Charles F. Kerchner, Jr. was employed to define the Ancestral Haplotype of Aaron Stark I. [See Charles F. Kerchner, Jr.'s article entitled "Triangulation Method for Deducing the Ancestral Haplotype in Y-DNA Surname Projects."] Cells with this background color report DYS Marker allele values for the Ancestral Haplotype of Aaron Stark I [1608-1685]. Appendix 1 entitled "Defining the Ancestral Haplotype of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]" has a more complete analysis of this process.

According to FTDNA, those DYS Markers labeled in RED have a higher mutation rate than those Markers not labeled in Red.

Genetic Results Table

 

Panel 1 (1-12) Haplotype

Panel 2 (13-25) Haplotype

- Panel 3 (26-37) Haplotype
Marker #

----> 

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 - 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37

Common

Ancestor

Sons of

Aaron I

Kit #

3
9
3
3
9
0
1
9
3
9
1
3
8
5
a

3
8
5
b

4
2
6
3
8
8
4
3
9

3
8
9
-
1
3
9
2
3
8
9
-
2
4
5
8

4
5
9
a
4
5
9
b
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
4
7
4
3
7
4
4
8
4
4
9

4
6
4
a

4
6
4
b

4
6
4
c

4
6
4
d

4
6
4
e

4
6
0
G
A
T
A
H
4
Y
C
A
I
I
a
Y
C
A
I
I
b
4
5
6

6
0
7
5
7
6

5
7
0

C
D
Y
a

C
D
Y
b

4
4
2

4
3
8

Ancestral  

Haplotype

(Aaron I)

13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
A-William

76234

13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
B-William 98044 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
C-William 78077 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 30 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
D-William 48711 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 37 38 12 12
E-William 119763 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 35 38 12 12
E1-William 165568 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
F-William *9Z5ZG 12 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 - - - - - 12 12
G-William 16335 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17                          
H-William 80860 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
I-William 74961 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17                          
J-William 115456 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 11 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
K-William 63737 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 35 38 12 12
L-William 75156 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 30 15 15 16 17   12 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 37 38 12 12
M-William 78078 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
N-William N56748 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29                                                    
O-William N17289 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 15 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
P-Aaron II 98140 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
Q-Aaron II 135468 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17                          
R-Aaron II **87105 12 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17 17 11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
S-Aaron II 115764 12 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29                                                    
T-Aaron II 102286 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29 16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 18   11 11 19 22 16 16 16 17 36 38 12 12

*Tested by Sorenson Molecular Genetics Foundation. The white background cells in Panel 3 indicate these markers were not available for comparison to the FTDNA markers.

**87105 had an allele value at DYS-464e which is normally not a marker value found in the Panel 2 Haplotype. FTDNA reports the following: "Markers 464a-d are copies found at different locations on the Y chromosome. In about 1.5% of the test subjects, more than 4 copies will be present, representing Markers 464e, 464f, and 464g. If those additional markers are found, they are considered a one step mutation." None of the other members have allele values at DYS-464e.

 

 

 

 

Page 3

 

Genealogical Lineage

The following Genealogical Lineage Table shows the direct male line from each member to their earliest known ancestor. The Common Ancestor of all members, Aaron Stark [1608-1685], is presented in the Gen 12 column. Note that the Kit #'s of the program members are variously shown under the column's labeled Gen 0 through Gen 3. This is because there were four living generations participating in the program. The following would be the number of generations Aaron Stark lived before the members: 12 generations before those listed under Gen 0; 11 generations before those listed under Gen 1; 10 generations before those listed under Gen 2; and 9 generations before those listed under Gen 3.

The Panels/Mismatches column reports the Panel haplotypes that were reported for the Member in that row and the number of mismatches over each Panel — relative to Kit #76234 (A) reported in the first row. The 'ID" column assigns a letter code to each row for the purpose of discussion when making genetic comparisons. [Comparison of A-B for example.]

When reading from left to right, each row will eventually encounter a common ancestor associated with a member in an adjacent row. For example, A and B have a common ancestor named Moses, reported in the Gen 6 column. A, B, and C have a common ancestor named Jonathan J., reported in the Gen 7 column. This continues to occur reading left to right until Gen 12 — where Aaron I is reported to be the common  ancestor  of all of the members.

 

Members Genealogical Lineage to Aaron Stark [1608-1685]

ID

Panels

Mismatches

Gen 0 Gen 1 Gen 2 Gen 3 Gen 4 Gen 5 Gen 6 Gen 7 Gen 8 Gen 9 Gen 10 Gen 11 Gen 12
A

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(0)

----- ----- 76234 Father

Samuel G.

1888-1967

James M.

1824-1905

Moses

1793-1860

Jonathan J.

1778-1850

James 

1741-1841

Jonathan

1712-1764

William Jr.

1690-1736

William Sr.

1664-1730

Aaron I

1608-1685

B

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(0)

98044 Father

John E.

1904-1971

George H.

1882-1948

Samuel R.

1858-1911

Thompson

1827-????

C

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(1)/(0)

----- ----- 78077 Father

William F.

1848-1929

Carroll B.

1821-1891

Enoch

1794-1864

D

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(1)

----- 48711 Father

William A.

1905-1959

Jona' E.

1882-1935

Simeon E.

1858-1893

Elisha S.

1811-1870

Abraham

1781-1857

Daniel

1746-1810

E

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(1)

----- 119763 Father

Max W.

1896-1971

William H.

1855-1917

Simeon S.

1822-1893

Jesse A.

1802-1877

E1

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(0)

  165568 Father

James V.

1871-1924

James A.

1849-1933

F

P1/P2/P3

(1)/(0)/(0)

----- 9Z5ZG Father

Robert L.

1897-????

Walter

1871-1898

Rice A.

1821-1900

William

1804-1879

G

P1/P2

(0)/(0)

----- ----- 16335 Father

Elmore M.

1892-1979

Israel M.

1857-1936

Jona' A.

1815-1880

Jona' D.

1768-1828

H

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(0)

----- 80860 Father

John Harold

1907-1956

Marion G.

1868-1918

John Henry

1832-1915

Christopher

1802-1862

James V.

1773-1853

Christopher

1747-1807

I

P1/P2

(0)/(0)

----- ----- 74961 Father

Wesley

1894-1951

John W.

1844-1894

John A.

1811-1874

Benjamin

1783-1831

John

1756-1841

J

P1/P2/P3

(1)/(0)/(0)

----- ----- ----- 115456 Father

Harry L.

1879-1968

Bethuel G.

1840-1908

Caleb

1793-1876

Joseph

1746-1807

K

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(1)

----- ----- ----- 63737 Father

Samuel A.

1859-1939

Franklin S.

1831-1899

Prince L.

1795-1862

John

1754-1825

Moses

1716-1797

L

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(1)/(2)

----- ----- 75156 Father

William L.

1898-1956

Nathan T.

1863-1917

Isaac A.

1822-1867

Daniel

1793-????

Daniel A.

1761-????

William, III

1723-1795

M

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(0)

----- ----- 78078 Father

William O.

1869-1951

John L.

1848-1926

Asahel L.

1817-1881

Daniel R.

1788-1820

Asahel

1755-1821

Chris Jr.

1728-1785

Christopher

1698-1777

N

P1

(0)

----- N56748 Father

Harold V.

1904-1984

John Kneff

1877-1950

William

1844-1920

John K.

1812-1881

Daniel

1793-1825

John

1763-1841

O

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(1)

----- ----- N17289 Father

Lewis C.

1891-1977

Leroy H.

1865-1896

Henry H.

1840-1900

Jeremiah

1798-1870

Abijah

1768-1842

Nathan

1743-1830

Daniel

1702-1758

P

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(0)/(0)

----- ----- 98140 Father

Horace J.

1909-1995

William H.

1873-1937

John G.

1836-1912

Abiel

1806-1869

Nathan II

1763-1837

Nathan I

1725-1780

Abiel (1st)

1689-1755

Aaron II

1654-1701

Q

P1/P2

(0)/(0)

----- ----- ----- 135468 Father

Lowell R.

1892-????

Clinton E.

1853-1918

Albert W.

1818-1895

Caleb

1766-1841

Abiel (2nd)

1724-1770

R

P1/P2/P3

(1)/(1)/(0)

----- ----- 87105 Father

Osmer E.

1886-1964

Edward

1855-1908

Andrew

1821-1876

Reuben

1797-1877

Ebenezer

1768-1860

Stephen II

1717-1777

Stephen I

1686-1755

S

P1

(1)

----- ----- 115764 Father

Samuel A.

1894-1971

Samuel J.

1867-1952

Samuel

1828-1900

Norman S.

1796-1875

T

P1/P2/P3

(0)/(1)/(1)

----- 102286 Father

Raymond

1891-1943

Samuel A.

1864-1939

Aaron

1830-1899

John Reid

1798-1880

John II

1771-1844

John

1733-1822

Aaron IV

1708-1772

Aaron III

1678-1744

 

 

 

 

Page 4

 

Analysis of Panel 1 Haplotypes

 

Table 1

Panel 1 

Haplotypes

Panel 1 (1-12) Haplotype

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
3
9
3
3
9
0
1
9
3
9
1
3
8
5
a
3
8
5
b
4
2
6
3
8
8
4
3
9
3
8
9
-
1
3
9
2
3
8
9
-
2
 1 (17) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29
2 (3) 12 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29
3 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 11 13 13 29

 

 

Table 1 identifies three unique Haplotypes in Panel 1. Haplotype 1 is the most common haplotype and also is the same as the Ancestral Haplotype over Panel 1. All members having Haplotype 1 were a perfect match to each other and exhibited no mutations;   Members F, R, and S each have an allele value of 12 at Marker 1 and represent Haplotype 2; Member J has an allele value of 11 at Marker 9 and represents Haplotype 3.

The lesser occurring Haplotypes will now be genetically compared to Haplotype 1.1

 

 

________________

1)

The time predictor used for all of the comparisons is furnished by Family Tree DNA and referred to as FTDNATiP™. The FTDNATiP™ results are based on the mutation rate study presented during the 1st International Conference on Genetic Genealogy, on Oct. 30, 2004. The probabilities calculated take into consideration the mutation rates for each individual marker being compared. For more information, click HERE.

 

P1 Haplotype 1:

Comparisons to each other results in a 87.07% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within the last 20 generations. The Members with this Haplotype descending from William Stark are: A, B, C, D, E, E1, G, H, I, K. L. M, N, O. The Members with this Haplotype descending from Aaron Stark II are: P, Q, T.

P1 Haplotype 2:

Comparisons to those having Haplotype 1 results in a 60.99% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within the last 20 generations. The Members with this Haplotype descending from William Stark are: F. Members with this Haplotype descending from Aaron II are: R, S. This genetic comparison yields a probability that is insufficient in value to determine the relatedness of the Haplotype 1 Members to the Haplotype 2 Members. When compared to each other, there is a 87.7% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within the last 20 generations.

P1 Haplotype 3:

Comparisons to those having Haplotype 1 results in a 57.13% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within the last 20 generations. The Member with this Haplotype descends from William and is: J. This genetic comparison yields a probability that is insufficient in value to determine the relatedness of the Haplotype 1 Members to the Haplotype 3 Member. When compared to those having Haplotype 2, there is a 29.09% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within the last generations.

 

While there is sufficient genetic evidence to establish relatedness in comparisons within each of these haplotypes, the comparisons of Haplotype 1 to Haplotypes 2 & 3 cannot resolve relatedness between these members without additional genetic data. Nor can comparisons of Haplotypes 2 and 3 to each other resolve relatedness between these Members. However, genetic results over Panels 2 and 3 will later determine F, R, J, and S are related to those members having Haplotype 1.

Future participants genetically tested having the surname Stark and having Haplotype 1 in Panel 1 — most likely will be descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]. New members joining the program having Haplotypes 2 and 3 could also be descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]. However, it is suggested new members having Haplotype 2 or 3, upgrade their test to include the Panel 2 DYS Markers to confirm their relatedness to members tested over these additional Markers.

 

Analysis of Combination of the Panel 1 & 2 Haplotypes

 

 

Table 2

Panel 1, & Panel 2

Haplotypes

 

Panel 1 (1-12) Haplotype

 

Panel 2 (13-25) Haplotype

 
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12   13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 -
3
9
3
3
9
0
1
9
3
9
1
3
8
5
a

3
8
5
b

4
2
6
3
8
8
4
3
9

3
8
9
-
1
3
9
2
3
8
9
-
2
  4
5
8

4
5
9
a
4
5
9
b
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
4
7
4
3
7
4
4
8
4
4
9

4
6
4
a

4
6
4
b

4
6
4
c

4
6
4
d

4
6
4
e

1 (13) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17  
2 (2) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 30 15 15 16 17  
3 (1) 12 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17  
4 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 11 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17  
5 (1) 12 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17 17
6 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 18  

 

Table 2 identifies six unique Haplotypes when the Panel 1 and Panel 2  haplotypes are combined.  Haplotype 1 is the most common haplotype and is the same as the Ancestral Haplotype over Panels 1 and 2. All members having Haplotype 1 in this combination were a perfect match to each other and exhibited no mutations; C and L each have an allele value of 30 at Marker 21 and represent Haplotype 2; F has an allele value of 12 at Marker 1 and represents Haplotype 3; J has an allele value of 11 at Marker 9 and represents Haplotype 4. R, representing Haplotype 5, has a allele value of 12 at DYS Marker 1 and an allele value of 17 at DYS Marker 464e — defined by FTDNA as a one-step mutation. T has an allele value of 18 at Marker 25 and represents Haplotype 6.

 

 

 

 

Page 5

 

The lesser occurring P12 Haplotypes will now be compared to the P12 Haplotype 1.

 

P12 Haplotype 1: 

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 1 to each other results in a 99.12% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. Participants with this profile descending from William Stark are: A, B, D, E, E1, G, H, I, K, M, and O. Participants with this profile descending from Aaron Stark II are: P, and Q.

P12 Haplotype 2:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 2 to those having Haplotype 1 results in a 93.4% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. Participants with this profile descending from William Stark are: C and L. None of the participants descending from Aaron Stark II had this profile.

P12 Haplotype 3:

Comparison of the participant with Haplotype 3 to those having Haplotype 1 results in an approximate 94.69% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. The participant with this profile is: F. He is a descendant of William Stark. This member was tested by Sorenson and could not be compared to members in the FTDNA database. The probability estimate is based on the Haplotype 4 comparison to Haplotype 1. In Panel 1, there was insufficient genetic evidence to determine F was related. However, his comparison to Haplotype 1 proves he is related to the members in Panel 1 having the P1 Haplotype 1.

P12 Haplotype 4:

Comparison of the participant with Haplotype 4 to those having Haplotype 1 results in a 94.69% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. The participant with this profile is: J. He is a descendant of William Stark. In Panel 1, there was insufficient genetic evidence to determine J was related. However, his comparison to Haplotype 1 proves he is related to the members in Panel 1 having the P1 Haplotype 1.

P12 Haplotype 5:

Comparison of the participant with Haplotype 5 to those having Haplotype 1 results in a 84.33% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. The participant with this profile is: R. He is a descendant of Aaron Stark II. Haplotype 5 has two mutations over Panels 1 & 2. He has a mutation at Marker 1 and a mutation over Panel 2 because he had an allele value at an additional Marker in Panel 2 labeled DYS 464e — having a value of 17. According to FTDNA, this additional marker in Panel 2 represents a one-step mutation. The FTDNA Time to the Most Recent Common Ancestor1 computations take this into account, resulting in a borderline probability. While this probability is an improvement. we must wait for the combined results of Panels 1,2, & 3 to be certain.

P12 Haplotype 6:

Comparison of the participant with Haplotype 6 to those having Haplotype 1 results in a 94.77% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. The participant with this profile is: T. He is a descendant of Aaron Stark II.

 

The addition of the Panel 2 markers to the Panel 1 markers improved the probabilities dramatically. All of the members with Haplotype 1 have the most common haplotype observed in Panel 1. Observe those with Haplotype 2 and 6 also have the most common haplotype observed in Panel 1; but had mutations occurring at Marker 21 and Marker 25 in the Panel 2 Markers.

All of those having Haplotypes 2 thru 4, and 6 when compared to Haplotype 1 had probabilities in the range between  93.4% and 94.77% that they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations, suggesting members having these haplotypes are related to those having Haplotype 1. The comparison of Haplotype 5 to Haplotype 1 resulted in a borderline probability of 84.33%. While R remains below the confidence threshold, his results will conclusively demonstrate he is related to the other members when his Panel 3 genetic results are combined with Panels 1 and 2.

In the Analysis of the Panel 1 haplotypes, there was insufficient genetic evidence to determine the relatedness of S to those in Panel 1 having the P1 Haplotype 1. S was not tested over Panel 2. However, F was tested over Panel 1 & 2 and found to be related to Members with the P12 Haplotype 1. The confirmation F is related to other members having the P12 Haplotype 1 confirms S is also related.

The combination of Panels 1 and 2 suggests the P12 Haplotype 1 will most likely identify men with the surname Stark or one of it's derivatives as descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]. While the other Profiles may also identify them as descendants of Aaron Stark they most likely identify mutations that occurred in one or more generations after Aaron Stark and may represent members of one or more of his descendant branches. How often Haplotypes 2 through 6 will occur depends on the generation in which the mutation was transmitted from a father to his son.

 

Analysis of the Panel 1, 2, & 3 Haplotypes 

Table 3 identifies nine unique Haplotypes when the Panel 1, 2, & 3 haplotypes are combined.  Haplotype 1 is the most common haplotype and is the same as the Ancestral Haplotype over all three Panels. All members having Haplotype 1 in this combination were a perfect match to each other and exhibited no mutations. While Member F had partial results over markers 26 thru 37, they were not complete and he has been excluded from this discussion. 

 

Table 3

Panel 1, 2, &  3

Haplotypes

 

Panel 1 (1-12) Haplotype

 

Panel 2 (13-25) Haplotype

    Panel 3 (26-37) Haplotype
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12   13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 -   26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
3
9
3
3
9
0
1
9
3
9
1
3
8
5
a

3
8
5
b

4
2
6
3
8
8
4
3
9

3
8
9
-
1
3
9
2
3
8
9
-
2
  4
5
8

4
5
9
a
4
5
9
b
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
4
7
4
3
7
4
4
8
4
4
9

4
6
4
a

4
6
4
b

4
6
4
c

4
6
4
d

4
6
4
e

  4
6
0
G
A
T
A
H
4
Y
C
A
I
I
a
Y
C
A
I
I
b
4
5
6

6
0
7
5
7
6

5
7
0

C
D
Y
a

C
D
Y
b

4
4
2

4
3
8

1 (6) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17     11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
2 (2) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17     11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 35 38 12 12
3 (1) 12 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17 17   11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
4 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 11 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17     11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
5 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 30 15 15 16 17     11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
6 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17     11 11 19 22 15 16 17 17 36 38 12 12
7 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 17     11 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 37 38 12 12
8 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 29 15 15 16 18     11 11 19 22 16 16 16 17 36 38 12 12
9 (1) 13 24 14 11 12 14 12 12 12 13 13 29   16 9 10 11 11 25 14 19 30 15 15 16 17     12 11 19 22 16 16 17 17 37 38 12 12

 

  The lesser occurring profiles will be compared to P123 Haplotype 1.

 

 

P123 Haplotype 1: 

Comparisons of those with Profile 1 to each other results in a 99.99% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. Members with Haplotype 1 descending from William Stark are: A, B, E1, H, and M. The Member with Haplotype 1 descending from Aaron Stark II is: P.

P123 Haplotype 2:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 2 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 99.83% probability they share a common ancestor within 20 generations. Members with Haplotype 2 descending from William Stark are: E, and K.

P123 Haplotype 3:

Comparisons of Haplotype 3 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 99.4% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. The Member with Haplotype 3 descending from Aaron Stark II is: R.

P123 Haplotype 4:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 4 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 99.88% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. The Member with Haplotype 4 descending from William Stark is: J.

P123 Haplotype 5:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 5 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 99.86% probability they share a common ancestor who lived within 20 generations. The Member with Haplotype 5 descending from William Stark is: C.

P123 Haplotype 6:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 6 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 99.88% probability they share a common ancestor within 20 generations. The Member with Haplotype 6 descending from William Stark is: O.

P123 Haplotype 7:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 7 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 99.83% probability they share a common ancestor within 20 generations. The Member with Haplotype 7 descending from William Stark is: D.

P123 Haplotype 8:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 8 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 99.23% probability they share a common ancestor within 20 generations. The Member with Haplotype 8 descending from Aaron Stark II is: T.

P123 Haplotype 9:

Comparisons of those with Haplotype 9 to those with Haplotype 1 results in a 96.31% probability they share a common ancestor within 20 generations. The Member with Haplotype 9 descending from William Stark is: L.

 

The combination of Panels 1,2, & 3 suggests the P123 Haplotype 1 will most likely identify men with the surname Stark or one of it's derivatives as descendants of Aaron Stark [1608-1685]. While the other Haplotypes may also identify them as descendants of Aaron Stark they most likely identify mutations that occurred in one or more generations after Aaron Stark and may represent members of one or more of his descendant branches. How often Haplotypes 2 through 9 will occur depends on the generation in which the mutation was transmitted from a father to his son along the respective descendant branches.

 

 

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The webmaster is yours truly, Clovis LaFleur.  I am a volunteer and receive no financial remuneration of any kind from Family Tree DNA, nor am I one of their "web affiliates" (i.e., I don't profit from "click through's").  I'm retired and genealogy is my hobby and is not my business. As webmaster I am not responsible for the genealogy material provided by members nor am I responsible for the Test Results publicly reported by FTDNA. The analysis of results prepared and presented by me on these web pages are based on my interpretation of the Y-DNA results published and the genealogy provided by the project members. Discussion of my analysis with members and others will always be welcome.

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